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	<title>Professor John Shepherd</title>
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	<link>http://jgshepherd.com</link>
	<description>oceanography,  climate change and fisheries management</description>
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		<title>Fishery Reform: letter to Nature</title>
		<link>http://jgshepherd.com/2011/08/01/fishery-reform-letter-to-nature/</link>
		<comments>http://jgshepherd.com/2011/08/01/fishery-reform-letter-to-nature/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Aug 2011 16:25:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jgshepherd.com/?p=213</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I sent a letter to Nature entitled Fishery Reform: an Economic Problem, which they published on 28 July 2011. I have posted copies of the original  version (with references) and the shorter published version on my Fisheries page, here.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I sent a letter to Nature entitled Fishery Reform: an Economic Problem, which they published on 28 July 2011. I have posted copies of the original  version (with references) and the shorter published version on my Fisheries page, <a href="http://jgshepherd.com/science-topics/fisheries/">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>On Climate &#8220;Sceptics&#8221;&#8230; or Dissenters</title>
		<link>http://jgshepherd.com/2011/01/16/on-climate-sceptics-or-dissenters/</link>
		<comments>http://jgshepherd.com/2011/01/16/on-climate-sceptics-or-dissenters/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 16 Jan 2011 18:20:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jgshepherd.com/?p=185</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[People who wish to question the validity of climate science usually call themselves &#8220;sceptics&#8221;. Scientists object to this, since all good scientists are perennially sceptical (indeed, the motto of the Royal Society is Nullius in Verba i.e. &#8220;take no-one&#8217;s word &#8230; <a href="http://jgshepherd.com/2011/01/16/on-climate-sceptics-or-dissenters/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>People who wish to question the validity of climate science usually call themselves &#8220;sceptics&#8221;. Scientists object to this, since all good scientists are perennially sceptical (indeed, the motto of the Royal Society is <em>Nullius in Verba</em> i.e. &#8220;take no-one&#8217;s word for it&#8221;). The so-called &#8220;sceptics&#8221; object to being called &#8220;deniers&#8221;, although that is usually what they do (i.e. deny the validity of statements, despite the evidence that supports them). Perhaps this is understandable, given the association of the word with the unpleasant business of <em>holocaust denial</em>. To avoid accusations of bad faith, I therefore commend the term <em><strong>&#8220;dissenters&#8221;</strong></em> as preferable. It is not pejorative, and also accurately describes what they do, i.e. dissent from the consensus of mainstream scientific opinion.</p>
<p>By the way, there is an excellent iPhone app called <a href="http://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/skeptical-science/id353938484?mt=8"><em><strong>Skeptical Science</strong></em></a> that has good answers to lots of controversial questions on climate science. It&#8217;s a nice complement to the excellent RealClimate <a href="http://www.realclimate.org/">web-site</a>.</p>
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		<title>Ocean Acidification</title>
		<link>http://jgshepherd.com/2011/01/01/letter-to-the-times-8-nov-2010-about-matt-ridleys-article-on-ocean-acidification/</link>
		<comments>http://jgshepherd.com/2011/01/01/letter-to-the-times-8-nov-2010-about-matt-ridleys-article-on-ocean-acidification/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 01 Jan 2011 16:22:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jgshepherd.com/?p=120</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Letter to The Times (8 Nov 2010) about Matt Ridley&#8217;s article on Ocean Acidification Sir, Matt Ridley should brush up his basic chemistry &#38; biology before he criticises scientists who worry about ocean acidification. First, any shift of acidity is &#8230; <a href="http://jgshepherd.com/2011/01/01/letter-to-the-times-8-nov-2010-about-matt-ridleys-article-on-ocean-acidification/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Letter to The Times (8 Nov 2010) about Matt Ridley&#8217;s article on Ocean Acidification</p>
<p>Sir,</p>
<p>Matt Ridley should brush up his basic chemistry &amp; biology before he criticises scientists who worry about ocean acidification.<br />
First, any shift of acidity is still important even if it is (just) within natural ranges; and in the future it will be much larger than that.<br />
Second, it has been known for some time that some organisms may make shells starting from bicarbonate ions.  But there is abundant evidence that dissolution of their shells is controlled by the carbonate ion concentration, so decreases in carbonate means a problem for retention of shells.<br />
Third, Ridley&#8217;s claim of &#8220;no significant mean effect&#8221; of predicted future CO2 levels is only true because that is an average over several processes and many species &#8211; among which there will certainly be winners and losers.<br />
Overall, decrease in calcification rate means a change in the ecosystem structure, and probably its function too, with unpredictable consequences.  We entirely agree that that the jury is out on how damaging acidification will be, but the scientific community is right to be concerned to research this &#8220;other CO2 problem&#8221;.</p>
<p>Professor John Shepherd FRS, University of Southampton<br />
Professor John Raven FRS, University of Dundee<br />
Professor Andrew Watson FRS, University of East Anglia</p>
<p>See also the more detailed responses from others <a href="http://blogs.nature.com/news/thegreatbeyond/2010/11/scientists_respond_to_ocean_ac.html">here</a> and <a href="http://www.oceanacidification.org.uk/PDF/Briefing%20note%20on%20Ridley%20article%20-%2019%20Nov.pdf">here</a></p>
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		<title>Transparency and trust in Climate Science</title>
		<link>http://jgshepherd.com/2010/02/06/revised-and-extended-version-of-a-letter-to-the-guardian/</link>
		<comments>http://jgshepherd.com/2010/02/06/revised-and-extended-version-of-a-letter-to-the-guardian/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 19:02:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jgshepherd.com/?p=101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Revised and extended version of a letter to The Guardian, (Monday 8 February 2010) Congratulations to Fred Pearce for his balanced and thoughtful articles last week on the climate email affair, and commiserations to Simon Jenkins and Simon Hoggart for &#8230; <a href="http://jgshepherd.com/2010/02/06/revised-and-extended-version-of-a-letter-to-the-guardian/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Revised and extended version of a letter to <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/theguardian"><em>The Guardian</em></a><em>,			 																		 			       			(Monday 8 February 2010) </em></p>
<p>Congratulations to Fred Pearce for his balanced and thoughtful  articles  last week on the climate email affair, and commiserations to  Simon  Jenkins and Simon Hoggart for having lost the plot so completely.  Those  who refuse to accept something despite a mass of evidence for it  (like  climate change and evolution) go far beyond genuine and  constructive  scepticism. We should call them dissenters, at least, if  the term  “deniers” is considered to be too insulting. And those who  believe in  something without a shred of evidence for it (like  homeopathy or  astrology) can only be called credulous. Scientists, who  may spend  decades making observations, and using evidence to test their  theories,  try hard not to fall into either of these categories. If our  cars or our  bodies need to be fixed,  we seek out, trust and take  advice only from  those who are trained and qualified to do the job. Why  should we not do  the same when it is the future of the world in which  we live that is at  stake ?</p>
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		<title>Low-carbon Energy research</title>
		<link>http://jgshepherd.com/2009/12/28/response-to-start-the-week/</link>
		<comments>http://jgshepherd.com/2009/12/28/response-to-start-the-week/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Dec 2009 19:07:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://jgshepherd.com/?p=103</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Response to an enquiry arising from the BBC &#8220;Start The Week&#8221; programme on 28 Dec 2009 On 28 Dec 2009, someone wrote to me &#8220;Firstly I assume that you are the John Shepherd who featured on Start the Week today, &#8230; <a href="http://jgshepherd.com/2009/12/28/response-to-start-the-week/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Response to an enquiry arising from the BBC &#8220;Start The Week&#8221; programme on 28 Dec 2009</p>
<p>On 28 Dec 2009, someone wrote to me</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Firstly I assume that you are the John Shepherd who featured on Start the Week today, 28th December ’09.</p>
<p>In  it you mentioned that there are numerous worthy research  programmes   looking into methods of mitigating climate change, but that  these are   mostly underfunded.</p>
<p>Would it be possible to publicise a list of  these, with a short   description of what they are doing and what they  hope to achieve, plus   some contact details etc.? This might enable  concerned citizens and the   growing number of groups dedicated to this  issue – and who now see that   politics is probably unable to address  the problem of climate change   adequately – to consider fundraising for  such programmes.</p>
<p>There are many organisations supported by  voluntary public donation –   but it is a prerequisite that donors must  be convinced of a cause’s   worth.  I sense that tackling climate change  is a cause to which many   people who currently feel helpless might  gladly contribut</p>
<p>I am a member of ‘Sustainable Frome’ which is  only one of a number of   local groups resolved to helping to tackle  climate change.  Were a  list  of appropriate research projects to be  forthcoming I would be  happy to  publicise it around our group and  around other groups with  which we have  contacts.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><strong>To which I replied…</strong></p>
<p>Yes,  I am that person. The ideas I was referring to are summarised in    another Royal Society report, on the Low Carbon Future, which you can    get at</p>
<p><a href="http://royalsociety.org/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=5453">http://royalsociety.org/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=5453</a></p>
<p>PDFs of the slides of most of the presentations to the meeting are also available at:</p>
<p><a href="http://royalsociety.org/Towards-a-low-carbon-future/">http://royalsociety.org/Towards-a-low-carbon-future/</a></p>
<p>Unfortunately  this sort of research is very expensive: you’d be  looking  for  hundreds of millions p.a., which is an awful lot of  fundraising…  As  the chair of our local action group (<a href="http://www.blissford.net/hdccf/">Hyde &amp;  District Climate   Change Forum</a>) I  think we can be   more effective at the bottom up stuff (encouraging  people to conserve   energy). We are affiliated to the <a href="http://www.newforesttransition.org/">New Forest Transitions Movement</a> which does a lot of good  things:  are  you part of that?</p>
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